Showing posts with label supply chain risk. Show all posts
Showing posts with label supply chain risk. Show all posts

09 May 2026

Business Resilience: Beyond Readiness…

The Continuity-of-Operations-Plan (COOP) for your Communications operations is an operational risk that in many cases is underestimated until a significant business disruption occurs.


When Comms are down, this means a combination of voice and data services that serve your business enterprise may not be available.


The resilience of both the voice and data communications is the holy grail of continuity of operations and disaster recovery professionals on a global basis.


Business Resilience and the ability to effectively anticipate or absorb the impact of an incident, whether man made or as a result of a natural phenomenon differentiates your suppliers.


When is the last time you tested your Tier I service supplier for a mission critical business process to determine the ability to keep their voice and data services running during a time of crisis?


And maybe more important, is your own enterprise “Incident Command” system survivable so that you can provide voice leadership to your "Incident Commanders" where ever they may be located on the globe.


When it comes to planning for the next Hurricane Katrina or the "Tip of the Spear" overseas operations readiness, resilient business organizations need to implement robust planning, immersive exercises and systems to be able to overcome the asymmetric “Operational Risks” that are now before them.


Power blackouts are the catalyst for many risks to the “Critical Infrastructure” including Transportation, Internet, Voice communications and even those services that you take for granted, like pumping gas at the local petrol station or emergency services at the local hospital.


Cyberspace as we know it is so deeply embedded into most of the mission essential aspects of business today that our readiness factor needs to go well beyond redundant power supplies and battery back ups just for power.


Cyber-Readiness is a key component of any organizations plan to stay resilient in the face of a Distributed Denial of Service Attack (DDOS) and other cyberspace exploits that may disrupt our operations.


Do you think you're spending too much time with your team planning and training?


You haven’t.

The organizations whose teams have planned for every possible scenario and trained together in live immersive simulations will become the most successful in their strategy execution.

Their missions will be accomplished on time and within budget.


Incidents of different severity and frequency are happening all around you and your organization every day.


Would your employees know what an incident looks like let alone know what to do next to mitigate the risk to them and the organization?


Success in your organization doesn't happen because everything goes according to the plan. It happens because you were prepared when things will go wrong…

04 October 2025

Digital RubiCON: The Fifth Domain...

Operational Risk Management is a continuous process in the context of our rapidly expanding corporate environments. What is one example?

People traveling to emerging markets to explore new business opportunities or new suppliers that will be connected by high speed Internet connections to the supply chain management system. These boundaries of managing operational risk, have not only expanded, they have become invisible.


Ru·bi·con

1. a river in N Italy flowing E into the Adriatic


—Idiom

2. Rubicon, to take a decisive, irrevocable step


This "Digital Rubicon" before us, to take on a more "Active Defense" in navigating the risk across international waters of e-commerce, privacy and legal jurisdictions will forever shape our future.


The decisions made on what constitutes an adversarial attack in the cyber domain, will not be as easy as the dawn of the nuclear age. Policy makers today have to weave the potential implications into a sophisticated decision tree that crosses the complex areas of intelligence, diplomacy, defense, law, commerce, economics and technology.


The new digital "Rule Sets" are currently being defined by not only nation states but the "Non-State" actors who dominate a segment of the global digital domains.


The same kinds of schemes, ploys, communication tactics and strategies are playing out online and what has worked in the physical world, may also work even better in the cyber-centric environment.


Corporations are increasingly under estimating the magnitude of the risk or the speed that it is approaching their front or back door steps.


The private sector is under tremendous oversight by various regulators, government agencies and corporate risk management. Yet the "public-private" "tug-of-war" over information sharing, leaks to the public press and Wikileaks incidents has everyone on full alert.


As the government has outsourced the jobs that will take too long to execute or that the private sector already is an expert, operational risks have begun to soar.


As the private sector tasks morph with the requirements of government you perpetuate the gap for effective risk mitigation and spectacular incidents of failure.


Whether it is the failure of people, processes, systems or some other clandestine event doesn't matter. The public-private paradox will continue as long as the two seek some form of symbiosis.


The symbiotic relationship between a government entity and a private sector supplier must be managed no differently than any other mission critical resource within an unpredictable environment.


Once an organization has determined the vital combination of assets it requires to operate on a daily basis, then it can begin it's quest for enabling enterprise resiliency.


The problem is, most companies still do not understand these complex relationships within the matrix of their business and therefore remain vulnerable.


The only path to gaining that resilient outcome, is to finally cross that "Digital Rubicon" and realize that you no longer can control it.


The first step in any remediation program, is first to admit the problem and to accept the fact that it exists.


Corporate enterprises and governments across the globe are coming to the realization that the only way forward is to cooperate, coordinate and contemplate a new level of trust...

05 July 2025

InTP: “Insider Threat Program”...

Does your company have a culture of "Organizational Integrity?"

Boards of Directors have the responsibility to insure the resiliency of the organization. The people, processes, systems and external events that are constantly changing the operational risk landscape become the greatest threat to an enterprise.

One key item may have revealed itself in your experience so far.  How would you improve your organization, when it comes to "Incident Response"?

One truth is, that our individuals who have a "C" in their title acronym, (CEO, CSO, CIO, CTO, CISO, CMO, CRO) have been challenged in new ways.  These same leaders have not trained enough, or long enough in this past decade.  Complacency is now becoming apparent again.

Our leadership skills have all been exposed to the vulnerabilities of people, processes, systems and external events. We have been caught off guard on a spectrum of challenging global incidents just these past 24 months.  A crisis spectrum that spans our physical world.  Also to our invisible virtual digital world.

Our growing "Incident Response Spectrum" is wide and vast.  It still requires specialized skills and knowledge to address the kind of change, that will now increasingly be required, in Fortune 500 Global Companies, Mid-Market INC 500 emerging businesses and especially, our Small-Medium Businesses (SMB).

How will we continuously Understand, Decide and Act from this point forward?

"The private sector organizations of the United States are vital to the protection and security of the Homeland.  The private sector owns a majority of our assets and Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP) remains a priority as a result of the latest asymmetric threats."

The U.S. National Strategy to Secure Cyberspace, emphasizes the importance of public/private partnerships in securing these critical infrastructures and improving national cyber security.

Similarly, one focus of the Department of Homeland Security is enhancing protection for critical infrastructure and networks by promoting working relationships between the government and private industry.

The federal government has acknowledged that these relations are vital because most of America’s critical infrastructure is privately held.  Further, the networks of our global super-infrastructure are tightly “coupled”—so tightly interconnected, that is, that any change in one has a nearly instantaneous effect on the others.

Attacking one network is like knocking over the first domino in a series: it leads to cascades of failure through a variety of connected networks, faster than most human managers can respond.

Many companies have already started the establishment of an “Insider Threat Program” (InTP)…have you?

12 June 2025

Black Swan: Strategy Execution for the "Outlier"...

The Black Swan is a surprise event and the idea that a catastrophe can strike without warning. A professional colleagues recent presentation was a timely reminder of its history and the origins.

What does your organization plan for within the Operational Risk Management (ORM) discipline? The Low Consequence “High Frequency Incident” or the High Consequence “Low Frequency Incident”?

The ratio can tell you what your "Resilience" factor is to Operational Risk loss events. Key Performance Indicators (KPI's) can give you some forward looking view into the risk portfolio, yet what about the resilience to the "Black Swan"?

The “Back Swan” is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics:

It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.

"The astonishing success of Google was a Black Swan; so was 9/11.  For author Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives."

"Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.”

Your organization is no doubt spending time on the Operational Risk Management (ORM) events, that consistently are in the high frequency "In Your Face" category.

In a highly regulated industry sector such as finance, health care or energy the oversight mechanisms require a continuous analysis of risk based upon the criticality of these sectors to the overall resilience of the economy.

"Yet it is the "Outlier" incident, that comes at the most unexpected time that is the real threat and the incident catalyst, that could be your "Black Swan”."

You never know when it is going to be coming, so you must plan, prepare and imagine that someday, it will happen.

Enabling Global Operational Risk Management (ORM) requires thinking beyond models and outside the box analysis of the "Resilience Factor," should an outlier impact the organization, the state or the country. The resources, personnel and systems focused on these areas of risk are small today. But not for long.

Just ask those people who had been working 24/7 since on any major incident.  It could have been the 9/11, "Fukushima"or "Lehman Brothers" crisis. Or more importantly, the plaintiff lawyers preparing their briefs for the inevitable aftermath of litigation over who knew what, when?

Another lesson learned from Supply Chain Risk.  Losing control of sensitive customer data is a fact of life for American companies. They’re collecting more of it, and they are often outgunned by nation state hackers, who are highly motivated to get at it.  Perhaps a vector through your most trusted supply chain vendors and partners.

One prediction into the future could be that litigation will follow all "Black Swan" incidents. If you are in a highly vulnerable industry sector, because it's part of the Critical Infrastructure of the global grid, then you already know you are in the middle of the target zone.

What is amazing to many in the after-action reporting is still how much we continue to under estimate the magnitude of a lack of planning and resources devoted, to these low frequency high consequence events…

29 March 2025

Battle-Tested Strategies: for Mission Critical Activities...

Mission Critical Activity (MCA)

Critical operational and/or business support, service or product related activity (provided internally or externally), including its dependencies and single points of failure, which enables an organization to achieve its business objective(s), taking into account seasonal trends and/or critical timing issues.

The trend to create "virtual" organizations raises a number of new issues as it pertains to interdependencies and single points of failure. The ability to provide sourcing alternatives in the event of a catastrophic failure of an MCA provider is a key priority. As the trend becomes more operational and logistically complex organizations must exercise more often to determine where processes or systems weaknesses occur.

An organizational Business Crisis & Continuity Management (BCCM) strategy ensures resilience and high reliability of MCA's. At the process level is a documented framework that identifies the organizations MCA's in the context of products or services.

Each MCA should have it's own BCM strategy that provides clarity of how the organization will provide protection for the MCA.

One key outcome is the definition of the BCCM relationship, positioning and connection with other risk related functions, e.g. Operational Risk Management (ORM) A critical component of getting this BCCM relationship connected with the risk management culture is through awareness and education training.

Merely documenting a strategy and plan provides a narrow and limited method of fully developing a true BCCM culture.

Ownership of BCCM by organizational lines of business, especially where Operational Risk originates and resides is paramount. No matter how well designed a strategy may be, exercising and testing on a regular basis is necessary to identify potential issues during a real incident.  

Good quality exercises rely on specific and relevant scenarios in the actual locations, facilities and with normal personnel in place.

And no BCCM is complete without measurement and audit. You must verify compliance independently to highlight key material deficiencies and issues to ensure their resolution.

Each stage of the BCCM life-cycle may require a unique audit process depending on that stage of the life cycles maturity.

At the end of the day, the question is this.

Has the organization introduced risk management controls to eliminate, mitigate, reduce, transfer the effects of identified threats, vulnerabilities, exposures or liabilities to MCA's?

22 March 2025

Corporate Directors: Continuous Continuity (C2) of the Enterprise...

The modern enterprise that effectively manages the myriad of potential threats to its people, processes, systems and critical infrastructures stands to be better equipped for sustained continuity.

A Business Crisis and Continuity Management (BCCM) program is a dynamic change management initiative that requires dedicated resources, funding and auditing. Corporate Directors must scrutinize organizational survivability on a global basis.

Since effective BCCM analysis is a 24/7 operation, it takes a combination of factors across the organization to provide what one might call C2, or "Continuous Continuity”.

A one-time threat or risk assessment or even an annual look at what has changed across the enterprise is opening the door for a Board of Directors worst nightmare.

These nightmares are "Loss Events" that could have been prevented or mitigated all together.

The following testing techniques must be used to ensure the continuity plan can be executed in a real-life emergency:

  • Table-top testing: Discussing how business recovery arrangements would react by using example interruptions
  • Simulations: Training individuals by simulating a crisis and rehearsing their post-incident/crisis management roles
  • Technical recovery testing: Testing to ensure information systems can be restored effectively
  • Testing recovery at an alternate site: Running business processes in parallel with recovery operations at an off-site location
  • Test of supplier facilities and services: Ensuring externally provided services and products will meet the contract requirements in the case of interruptions
  • Complete rehearsals: Testing to ensure the organization, employees, equipment, facilities and processes can cope with interruptions

Many of these best practices talk about a BCCM that will be periodically updated. Periodic is not continuous. Change is the key factor here.

What changes take place in your organization between these periodic updates? How could any organization accurately account for all the changes to the organization in between BCCM updates? The fact is that they can’t.

This will change over time as organizations figure out that this is now as vital a business component as supply chain management. The effective BCCM framework will become a core process within the organization if it is not already, dynamically evolving by the minute as new change-based factors take place in the enterprise.

As new or terminated employees, suppliers and partners come and go into the BCCM process, the threat profile is updated in real-time. This takes the operational management that much closer to C2, or "Continuous Continuity”.

Having survived several large quakes in Southern California in years past, we are not sure that all of the testing in the world can prepare people for human behaviors that come from within.

"People literally lose all sense of common sense when you are on the 42nd floor of the 50+ sky scraper and without any warning it physically sways a couple feet to the left and a few more feet to the right. Believe me, the issue is not the testing itself, it’s how to create a real enough scenario that you get similar behaviors out of unsuspecting people."

Certainly the largest organizations realize that the external threats are taking on new and different forms than the standard fire, flood, earthquake and twister scenarios. These historically large catastrophic external loss events have been insured against and the premiums are substantial.

What it is less easy to analyze from a threat perspective are the constantly changing landscapes and continuity postures of the internal facets of the organization having to do with people, processes and systems.

Corporate Boards of Director’s are now being continuously subjected to regulatory scrutiny across the globe to ensure the continuity and survivability of the enterprise.

It is their duty and responsibility to their shareholders to make sure this occurs on a continuous basis. The world can only hope that our Global 500 companies are well on their way to achieving C2 already.

Corporate Directors are ultimately responsible for Continuous Continuity (C2) of the Enterprise…

15 February 2025

Infinistructure: Who Knew What When...

Who knew what when? This is the question of the last few months as we now embark on the path towards recovery.

The Operational Risks that have plagued our aging county, state and federal institutions are growing and the convergence factor has brought us even bigger systemic organizations "Too Big To Fail."

While many will be side tracked by the need to deal with the toxic assets still on the books or in sinking agencies the "Zero's and One's" don't lie.

The information, digital evidence and just pure data audit trails will remain for many to be caught, charged, indicted and then sent before a jury to decide their fate.

Managing risks in the enterprise today takes on many flavors and within several departmental or enterprise domains of expertise.

Whether it be the C-Suite, legal department, the IT department, Internal Audit, Security department or even the Operational Risk Management Committee the "Zero's and One's" don't lie.

Think about how much time the people behind organizational malfeasance spend on trying to cover their tracks, clean up the digital "Blood Trail" of their crimes and wrong doing all the while knowing that someday, a smart investigator or forensic examiner will connect the dots. Game over.

Regardless if you are two paid-off programmers who have been enforcing the "Business Rules" in their software by the boss or an internal threat actor does not matter.

Whether they are copying, stealing, altering or damaging the digital information within the organization does not matter; these Operational Risks still remain constant.

The resources and the money devoted to continuous due diligence, monitoring and preemptive strategy to Deter, Detect and Defend the digital assets of the enterprise need to grow dramatically to stay ahead of the curve.

The best way to figure out “What to do” and “How to do it” will require outside assistance. Moving your digital assets to be professionally managed makes sense for economic and other financially prudent reasons.

Yet this migration away from large numbers of people managing and maintaining your information technology infrastructure internally and on your payroll is just the standard "outsourcing" strategy right?

It has it's own set of 3rd party supply chain set of risks. After your next incident who will be asking: Who knew what when?

Many private sector and government enterprises who are augmenting their COOP and the economic strategy of "Cloud Computing" have realized the smart course of implementing and migrating to managed services and infrastructure suppliers.

"How can the utilization of an "Infinistructure" with the knowledge and application of a legal compliance ecosystem in your enterprise mitigate the risks associated with bad actors, unprepared personnel and the digital loss of key evidence?"

Stay tuned for more on this later. In the mean time remember this.

All of the newest technology, fastest AI computers and neural networks enabled with encryption and secured physical locations will not be enough to save your institution from Operational Risks.

It is just one more piece of the total risk management mosaic, that will still require the smartest people and the most robust policy and processes imaginable.

Who knew what when? This will continue to be the biggest question of the next decade.

11 January 2025

Maps: Finding Your Next Destination...

Where you decide to live your life and the geography that surrounds you, will shape who you become in your future.

When you were growing up, did you ever ask your Mom or Dad, why are we living here?

Did you ever have the pure curiosity to look on a map to discover where in your country your hometown was actually located? How far was it to your Nations Capital?

Your story as a young human being and where you started your early years going to a local school and taking a geography class was just your beginning.

What about the neighborhood you lived in and the friends and places around you that shaped many of your thoughts on life forever. That single map you were curious examining, was just a small world view of our entire globe and your opportunity.

In 2025, you now have the satellite imagery resolution and cloud-based services such as ESRI, Maxar or even just Google Maps to quickly explore your next destination.

Explore your next city, state and geography to live or work.

Your parents probably did not have those high tech tools when you were growing up across from the big lake, in just a small Mid-West community in our United States.

Now, how might you utilize a myriad of new technologies and online tools to research your next destination in life?

What questions might you ask yourself to begin to zero-in on a particular Zip Code or a proximity to the ocean, the mountains or the city with tall skyscrapers?

Would you begin with the weather site? Would you begin with ZipRecruiter dot com? Would you begin with Rent dot com? Would you begin with CrimeMapping dot com?

Yes, and unfortunately these days, people must consider all kinds of “Operational Risks” in their own particular community. Why?
We have all heard or experienced first hand the news reports from city names of where significant “Loss Events” have occurred across our America.

The spectrum of risks are wide and so unpredictable. Here are just a few such examples:

Where will you find your next place to work and/or raise a family, so that you may truly prosper and your family will be more safe and secure?

Where are the schools you will choose to associate with, that start the day with our “Pledge of Allegiance”? Where you will find “School Protective Resource Officers” are on premise and kindly greeting students as they arrive each day.

Why will you volunteer with your local Citizens Corps Community Emergency Response Team (CERT) and/or join your metro area InfraGard Members Alliance (IMA)?

Why will you learn CPR and how to use a tourniquet, organize a search and rescue team, learn self-defense and how to more effectively Understand, Decide and Act, with real-time digital active streams of relevant threat information?

Because of the geography where you grew up and it all began. Because of where you went to College and earned your degree(s). Because you learned and worked more than most in our International world of asymmetric warfare with continuous and invisible Operational Risks.

Because of your growing Christian faith. Because you have been Married once for 38+ years. Because together you and your wife raised a daughter and a son who were only 19 months apart working full-time.

Because your kids both graduated with Bachelor degrees from State Universities. Because they are now reflecting upon successful careers within a Dow Jones Industrial Fortune 500 and a few US Federal Government contractors.

Because you have your first Grandson. :-)

Because your own Mother and Father made the right decisions, on where to live and raise your family, as just another young kid on the YMCA Swim Team in that little Mid-West town.

In our wonderful and only, United States of America…USA.

Godspeed!

16 November 2024

Vigilance is The Name of The Game...

President George W. Bush logged a victory in 2006 when the U.S. House of Representatives renewed the USA Patriot Act, a law that gave the FBI expanded powers to investigate terrorism after the Sept. 11 attacks.

When was the last time as a CxO in your organization that you reviewed the law? Here are a few of the renewed provisions:

>Section 201 Gives federal officials the authority to intercept wire, spoken and electronic communications relating to terrorism.

>Section 202 Gives federal officials the authority to intercept wire, spoken and electronic communications relating to computer fraud and abuse offenses.

>Subsection 203(b) Permits the sharing of grand jury information that involves foreign intelligence or counterintelligence with federal law enforcement, intelligence, protective, immigration, national defense or national security officials

>Subsection 203(d) Gives foreign intelligence or counterintelligence officers the ability to share foreign intelligence information obtained as part of a criminal investigation with law enforcement.

>Section 204 Makes clear that nothing in the law regarding pen registers an electronic device that records all numbers dialed from a particular phone line stops the government's ability to obtain foreign intelligence information.

>Section 209 Permits the seizure of voicemail messages under a warrant.

>Section 212 Permits Internet service providers and other electronic communication and remote computing service providers to hand over records and e-mails to federal officials in emergency situations.

"Whether you are a government or a small business you must have a layered and defense in depth approach to the safety and security of your enterprise. You have to monitor insiders, gather intelligence and keep an eye on foreign competitors."

Key people in your organization are key targets for a spectrum of threats both physical, economic and digital. When is the last time you saw a CEO, CFO, CRO or Board Member walk down to the INFOSEC department and ask the team if they had all the tools and resources they need to do their jobs effectively.

And if they did raise their hand and say they could use some help with solutions to help combat all insider threats including intellectual property leakage, vendor collusion, financial fraud, and customer data loss. You might recommend they look at the FedRamp Marketplace.

The leaders of a medium-size community bank, Fortune 500 enterprise, Private Sector Critical Infrastructure company and local city government still have the same thing in common today as with George W. Bush 18 plus years ago…

28 September 2024

Pain or Joy: Change Management 101...

Habits are hard to change.  It takes discipline and continuous perseverance.


When was the last time you changed something that increased your revenue?  Your health.  Or your safety and security.


Change and managing change whether in the corporate ranks of your Fortune 500 Global Enterprise or back in your own personal life at home is a true challenge.


Before you even thought about what you needed to change in your business or your own life, you probably have encountered one of two experiences:

    • Pain
    • Joy

Which one of these two experiences have you recently encountered?


You see, our human behavior is quite predictable and it is usually one of these two motivators in life that will change your behavior.


Educating yourself and others you care about requires that you sometimes utilize one of these motivators in order to initiate new change.  Let’s begin with “Pain”.


These realities are exactly what the evil in our world today continues to prey on.  Those individuals who are unable or unwilling to change, and to manage change in their lives.


“It is really very simple. In the foreseeable future, we will not function as a global society without the Net and the immense digital resources and information assets of our society. The addiction is established—commerce, government, education, and our neighbors offer no option other than to require that we rely upon digital information in making decisions. But we will not function successfully if the war for control of those assets is lost. The battlefield, however, is the one on which trust is to be gained or lost—trust in the information we use, trust in the infrastructures that support us, and trust in the decisions we make in a digital world.”  Page 19 - Achieving Digital Trust | The New Rules For Business At The Speed Of Light  - Author Jeffrey Ritter


In your own digital life, these habits may be as simple as using the same password on multiple accounts that each of us rely on, each day or each week of our lives.  You know who you are.


As the continued use of “Ransomware” remains so pervasive across the globe and is utilized by so many criminal gangs and nation states, each one of us must consider our personal and business habits.


At home and at work.


It is now time to change.  It is time to change your digital habits so you may avoid the pain and continue to have even more joy in your life.


Take action.


Start a new habit now of changing the weak password on your bank accounts.  Make it 20 characters, and make it random.  Easily addressed when you "Use a Password Manager App".  Then set a reminder to change it on January 1, April 1, July 1, and October 1 of each year.


“Microsoft warns that ransomware threat actor Storm-0501 has recently switched tactics and now targets hybrid cloud environments, expanding its strategy to compromise all victim assets.


The threat actor first emerged in 2021 as a ransomware affiliate for the Sabbath ransomware operation. Later they started to deploy file-encrypting malware from Hive, BlackCat, LockBit, and Hunters International gangs. Recently, they have been observed to deploy the Embargo ransomware.


Storm-0501's recent attacks targeted hospitals, government, manufacturing, and transportation organizations, and law enforcement agencies in the United States.” —BleepingComputer


After you have successfully accomplished this simple task in your business and in your own personal life, remember:


The “Pain” of doing this simple “Change Management” step in your life, will help bring you continued “Joy” for so many years to come…:)


Godspeed!