24 January 2025

Analytic Techniques: Ai Derived Decisions...

 Structured Analytic Techniques have been useful in so many ways for decades to arrive at “TrustDecisions”.

What particular technique is/was your favorite over the years for your current role or profession?

  • Decomposition & Visualization
  • Idea Generation
  • Scenarios & Indicators
  • Hypothesis Generation & Testing
  • Assessment of Cause & Effect
  • Challenge Analysis
  • Conflict Management
  • Decision Support

Analysis in any community of highly trained human professionals requires thinking that challenges and reviews an individual persons strategy.

In the past, it required a series of proven methods for arriving at faster decisions that can be effectively proven reliable and explained to those who are uninformed.

The risks associated with a particular set of actions or strategy can not be entirely eliminated, yet the risks may be minimized by using proven and disciplined thinking models.

Testing a decision makers conclusions by utilizing standardized and structured analytic techniques may sometimes open new thinking for the decision maker and other times avoid a costly outcome.

Testing senior management human conclusions is vital in a high stakes business or in an increasingly important life or death decision.

How might you utilize a methodology to continuously make more effective “Trust Decisions” in your area of responsibility?

Will Ai decision support eliminate certain human analysis techniques once it has been verified, tested and proved its risk is acceptable?

“Analysis conducted by the intelligence, law enforcement and business communities will never achieve the accuracy, and predictability of a true science, because the information with which analysts must work is typically incomplete, ambiguous and potentially deceptive.” Page 165 Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis - 2nd Edition - by Richards J. Heuer Jr. & Randolph H. Pherson

In our near future, it will require analyzing the actual methods that a person or group has been using and then the utilization of “Structured Analytic Techniques” to actually determine their true reliability and outcomes.

Humans may indeed spend even more time and effort into the future analyzing and validating our Ai derived decisions…

19 January 2025

Allegiance: Show Me the Way...

Are you working or participating with an organization where you are experiencing a high degree of discontinuity?

A lack of cohesion and communication between the top leadership and the front line management will create that feeling.

Is new leadership going to change the discontinuity experience for customers and clients?

Before the past leadership truly could understand the poor design of the systems, processes and the under qualified personnel in place, it was too late.

They were blind to what core services were so vital and to those who they served.

In reality, the constituents were already working towards the inevitable change ahead and current leadership could only watch it unfold.

On the day after the major change at the top, the discontinuity in the organization began to evaporate.

As your new leaders took over command, the change turned into a true continuum and a building progression that could be seen and felt by the customers.

"Customers, clients and core followers have become a procession of support and they have felt the positive change in the wind."

Everyone can now start to see and feel the differences.

Will you use your expertise with others to solve serious problems that have plagued our employees, customers, neighbors, professionals, first responders, homeland or armed forces?

"How might you contribute and add your vast knowledge and experience to the new continuity generation, during our next era of growth, resilience and our positive change?"

You see, you are extraordinary. You have tremendous talent and knowledge to contribute to the change ahead.

Have confidence in yourself and your ability to truly make your customers, members, clients and followers satisfied and rewarded with your proven leadership.

Get out of the building. Meet with other people in small groups. Talk about your shared experiences, knowledge and capabilities. Create aspiration and deliver new solutions.

Look up. Then say to yourself on your next journey, “Show Me the Way”…

11 January 2025

Maps: Finding Your Next Destination...

Where you decide to live your life and the geography that surrounds you, will shape who you become in your future.

When you were growing up, did you ever ask your Mom or Dad, why are we living here?

Did you ever have the pure curiosity to look on a map to discover where in your country your hometown was actually located? How far was it to your Nations Capital?

Your story as a young human being and where you started your early years going to a local school and taking a geography class was just your beginning.

What about the neighborhood you lived in and the friends and places around you that shaped many of your thoughts on life forever. That single map you were curious examining, was just a small world view of our entire globe and your opportunity.

In 2025, you now have the satellite imagery resolution and cloud-based services such as ESRI, Maxar or even just Google Maps to quickly explore your next destination.

Explore your next city, state and geography to live or work.

Your parents probably did not have those high tech tools when you were growing up across from the big lake, in just a small Mid-West community in our United States.

Now, how might you utilize a myriad of new technologies and online tools to research your next destination in life?

What questions might you ask yourself to begin to zero-in on a particular Zip Code or a proximity to the ocean, the mountains or the city with tall skyscrapers?

Would you begin with the weather site? Would you begin with ZipRecruiter dot com? Would you begin with Rent dot com? Would you begin with CrimeMapping dot com?

Yes, and unfortunately these days, people must consider all kinds of “Operational Risks” in their own particular community. Why?
We have all heard or experienced first hand the news reports from city names of where significant “Loss Events” have occurred across our America.

The spectrum of risks are wide and so unpredictable. Here are just a few such examples:

Where will you find your next place to work and/or raise a family, so that you may truly prosper and your family will be more safe and secure?

Where are the schools you will choose to associate with, that start the day with our “Pledge of Allegiance”? Where you will find “School Protective Resource Officers” are on premise and kindly greeting students as they arrive each day.

Why will you volunteer with your local Citizens Corps Community Emergency Response Team (CERT) and/or join your metro area InfraGard Members Alliance (IMA)?

Why will you learn CPR and how to use a tourniquet, organize a search and rescue team, learn self-defense and how to more effectively Understand, Decide and Act, with real-time digital active streams of relevant threat information?

Because of the geography where you grew up and it all began. Because of where you went to College and earned your degree(s). Because you learned and worked more than most in our International world of asymmetric warfare with continuous and invisible Operational Risks.

Because of your growing Christian faith. Because you have been Married once for 38+ years. Because together you and your wife raised a daughter and a son who were only 19 months apart working full-time.

Because your kids both graduated with Bachelor degrees from State Universities. Because they are now reflecting upon successful careers within a Dow Jones Industrial Fortune 500 and a few US Federal Government contractors.

Because you have your first Grandson. :-)

Because your own Mother and Father made the right decisions, on where to live and raise your family, as just another young kid on the YMCA Swim Team in that little Mid-West town.

In our wonderful and only, United States of America…USA.

Godspeed!