Structured Analytic Techniques have been useful in so many ways for decades to arrive at “TrustDecisions”.
What particular technique is/was your favorite over the years for your current role or profession?
- Decomposition & Visualization
- Idea Generation
- Scenarios & Indicators
- Hypothesis Generation & Testing
- Assessment of Cause & Effect
- Challenge Analysis
- Conflict Management
- Decision Support
Analysis in any community of highly trained human professionals requires thinking that challenges and reviews an individual persons strategy.
In the past, it required a series of proven methods for arriving at faster decisions that can be effectively proven reliable and explained to those who are uninformed.
The risks associated with a particular set of actions or strategy can not be entirely eliminated, yet the risks may be minimized by using proven and disciplined thinking models.
Testing a decision makers conclusions by utilizing standardized and structured analytic techniques may sometimes open new thinking for the decision maker and other times avoid a costly outcome.
Testing senior management human conclusions is vital in a high stakes business or in an increasingly important life or death decision.
How might you utilize a methodology to continuously make more effective “Trust Decisions” in your area of responsibility?
Will Ai decision support eliminate certain human analysis techniques once it has been verified, tested and proved its risk is acceptable?
“Analysis conducted by the intelligence, law enforcement and business communities will never achieve the accuracy, and predictability of a true science, because the information with which analysts must work is typically incomplete, ambiguous and potentially deceptive.” Page 165 Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis - 2nd Edition - by Richards J. Heuer Jr. & Randolph H. Pherson
In our near future, it will require analyzing the actual methods that a person or group has been using and then the utilization of “Structured Analytic Techniques” to actually determine their true reliability and outcomes.
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